Fleet-based life-cycle carbon dioxide assessment of China’s passenger vehicle fleet to meet the 2060 carbon neutrality target

Jianxin Li; Huanran Liu; Mingnan Zhao; Yan Zhang; Ting Zhang; Jiaang Li

doi:10.1117/12.2619646

22 December 2021 Fleet-based life-cycle carbon dioxide assessment of China’s passenger vehicle fleet to meet the 2060 carbon neutrality target

Jianxin Li, Huanran Liu, Mingnan Zhao, Yan Zhang, Ting Zhang, Jiaang Li

Author Affiliations +

Proceedings Volume 12058, Fifth International Conference on Traffic Engineering and Transportation System (ICTETS 2021); 1205858 (2021) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2619646
Event: 5th International Conference on Traffic Engineering and Transportation System (ICTETS 2021), 2021, Chongqing, China

Abstract

The carbon dioxide emission mitigation of the road transport sector in China is crucial for its carbon neutrality target as the vehicle stock tends to keep growing, especially for passenger vehicles. In this study, a bottom-up fleet-based carbon dioxide model is built from a life-cycle perspective for China’s passenger vehicles. Three scenarios are designed, considering fleet electrification, vehicle kilometer travel, fuel consumption, electricity emission factor and light-weighting, to explore possible carbon dioxide mitigation pathways. The result shows that the target of peaking the carbon dioxide emissions of passenger vehicle fleet by 2030 can be achieved in the Stated Policy Scenario. However, even in the most aggressive scenario, China can hardly realize the carbon neutrality of passenger vehicle fleet because of the emissions from the vehicle production phase.

Citation Download Citation

Jianxin Li, Huanran Liu, Mingnan Zhao, Yan Zhang, Ting Zhang, and Jiaang Li "Fleet-based life-cycle carbon dioxide assessment of China’s passenger vehicle fleet to meet the 2060 carbon neutrality target", Proc. SPIE 12058, Fifth International Conference on Traffic Engineering and Transportation System (ICTETS 2021), 1205858 (22 December 2021); https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2619646

ACCESS THE FULL ARTICLE

INSTITUTIONAL
Select your institution to access the SPIE Digital Library.

SELECT YOUR INSTITUTION

PERSONAL
Sign in with your SPIE account to access your personal subscriptions or to use specific features such as save to my library, sign up for alerts, save searches, etc.

PERSONAL SIGN IN

No SPIE Account? Create one

PURCHASE THIS CONTENT

SUBSCRIBE TO DIGITAL LIBRARY

50 downloads per 1-year subscription

Members: $195

Non-members: $335 ADD TO CART

25 downloads per 1 - year subscription

Members: $145

Non-members: $250 ADD TO CART

PURCHASE SINGLE ARTICLE

Includes PDF, HTML & Video, when available