Modeling and predicting abstract concept or idea introduction and propagation through geopolitical groups

Holger M. Jaenisch; James W. Handley; Michael L. Hicklen

doi:10.1117/12.720162

2 May 2007 Modeling and predicting abstract concept or idea introduction and propagation through geopolitical groups

Holger M. Jaenisch, James W. Handley, Michael L. Hicklen

Proceedings Volume 6563, Evolutionary and Bio-inspired Computation: Theory and Applications; 656308 (2007) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.720162
Event: Defense and Security Symposium, 2007, Orlando, Florida, United States

Abstract

This paper describes a novel capability for modeling known idea propagation transformations and predicting responses to new ideas from geopolitical groups. Ideas are captured using semantic words that are text based and bear cognitive definitions. We demonstrate a unique algorithm for converting these into analytical predictive equations. Using the illustrative idea of "proposing a gasoline price increase of $1 per gallon from $2" and its changing perceived impact throughout 5 demographic groups, we identify 13 cost of living Diplomatic, Information, Military, and Economic (DIME) features common across all 5 demographic groups. This enables the modeling and monitoring of Political, Military, Economic, Social, Information, and Infrastructure (PMESII) effects of each group to this idea and how their "perception" of this proposal changes. Our algorithm and results are summarized in this paper.

Citation Download Citation

Holger M. Jaenisch, James W. Handley, and Michael L. Hicklen "Modeling and predicting abstract concept or idea introduction and propagation through geopolitical groups", Proc. SPIE 6563, Evolutionary and Bio-inspired Computation: Theory and Applications, 656308 (2 May 2007); https://doi.org/10.1117/12.720162

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